Israel Faces Twin Threats in Kerry and Obama
by Joel B. Pollak 7 Dec 2013
Secretary of State John Kerry
told the Saban Forum in Washington,
DC on Saturday that Israel
faced two existential threats: a nuclear Iran
and the "demographic time bomb" that supposedly awaits Israel
if it fails to make peace with the Palestinians. Arguably, however, the two
worst threats to Israel
today are Kerry and his boss, President Barack Obama, whose policy towards Israel is based
on two factually incorrect assumptions.
Kerry's "demographic time bomb"
is a myth, beloved by the radicals of J Street, the Israeli left, the New York
Times opinion page, and of course the Palestinian Authority. It maintains that
unless Israel withdraws from
the West Bank, the Arab population in the region will soon overtake the Jewish
population, forcing Israel
to give up either its democratic system or its Jewish identity. But the
"demographic time bomb" does not actually exist.
For one thing, Palestinian demographic
statistics have been highly exaggerated--for precisely the purpose to which
they are now being used, i.e. to pressure Israel to make concessions. For
another, the Jewish birthrate is accelerating while the Arab birthrate, while
still higher, is declining. And finally, the disengagement from Gaza in 2005, flawed though it was, ended any prospect of
Arabs overtaking Jews within territory Israel controls.
Obama brought a falsehood of his own to
the Saban Forum: namely, the idea that Israel should make peace with the
Palestinians because the would encourage Palestinian economic growth, which
would discourage terror. Yet the Palestinian economy has been growing in the West Bank despite Israeli occupation. It also grew prior
to the first intifada in 1987. It turns out that when Israel feels
secure--deal or no deal--the Palestinians do pretty well.
So the two would-be statesmen pushing Israel to give
up more land in a hurry are doing so using two fallacies. Worse, they are
actually promoting the very threats they describe: the nuclear deal in Iran allows the
regime to continue enriching uranium, and Kerry's recent warnings about a
"third intifada" could only serve to encourage the most radical
Palestinians. The only thing worse than Obama and Kerry's ignorance is their
mendacity.
John Kerry
John F. Kerry
is the secretary at the U.S. Department of State
for the Barack Obama administration, and
married to Teresa Heinz Kerry.
Note: Teresa
Heinz Kerry is married to John F. Kerry,
and an honorary trustee at the Brookings Institution
(think tank).
Foundation
to Promote Open Society was a funder for the Brookings
Institution (think tank).
George Soros
is the chairman for the Foundation to Promote Open
Society.
Saban
Center for Middle East Policy is a policy center at the Brookings Institution (think tank).
Haim Saban is
a benefactor for the Saban Center for Middle
East Policy, an honorary trustee at the Brookings
Institution (think tank), and a friend of Shimon Peres.
Shimon
Peres is a friend of Haim Saban, and
the president of Israel.
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