Policies Have
Consequences
ByBen Shapiro
@benshapiro
December 5, 2018
This week, France set itself on fire; the stock market
tumbled; and news broke that low-wage employment tumbled in the city of
Seattle. What do these three headlines have in common? That policies aren't
wish lists — they have real-world consequences.
Begin in France, where the so-called "yellow
vests" — a group of anti-tax protesters dressed in safety vests — tore up
Paris. Rioters defaced the Arc de Triomphe, burned cars and attacked police
with stones. They were protesting the exorbitant fuel taxes pursued by French
President Emmanuel Macron, taxes designed to curb climate change. The fuel tax
rates in France are already estimated to be a whopping 64 percent on unleaded
fuel and 59 percent on diesel fuel. The riots resulted in the French government
backing down, with French Prime Minister Edouard Philippe announcing, "No
tax is worth putting in danger the unity of the nation." By polling data,
more than 70 percent of French voters support the yellow vests, and Macron's
approval rating has dropped to an anemic 23 percent.
Move to the United States, where the stock market
continued to experience outsized volatility this week — volatility increased by
the hot-and-cold pronouncements of President Trump on trade. On Monday, thanks
in part to optimistic pronouncements on the postponement of a trade war with
China, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 250 points. On Tuesday,
President Trump tweeted that he favors protectionism, dubbing himself "a
Tariff Man," and the stock market promptly plummeted more than 600 points.
It turns out that talking up the economic benefits of domestic taxation of
consumers doesn't do much for consumer confidence or investor optimism.
Now take a look at Seattle, where a new analysis from
economists at the University of Washington shows that the city's forced $15
minimum wage had resulted in serious consequences for low-wage workers. The
study found that the costs to low-wage workers outpaced benefits "by a
ratio of three to one," according to the Washington Post, amounting to an
average of $125 per month lost to the average low-wage worker.
But no matter: So long as there are politicians, there
will be policies that achieve the opposite of their intended consequences.
Politicians, after all, don't have to show results. All they have to
demonstrate is a willingness to "help." Thus, the G-20 last year
announced that carbon taxes would offer "significant opportunities for
modernizing our economies" — workers be damned. President Trump has
declared that tariffs are an economic winner, despite reams of evidence to the
contrary. And Rep.-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez proclaims that we mustn't
"whine about minimum wage" — if we don't implement a minimum wage, we
will only be paying "human labor less than they require to live."
Policies have real-world consequences, regardless of how
much we wish they don't. It's failure to cope with that basic fact that leads
to so much of the finger-pointing we see in politics, with each side accusing
the other of bad intention — as though pointing out a policy's failure is
equivalent to rooting for failure. It isn't. But rooting for reality is a far
more sustainable economic strategy than fighting against it.
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