Sorry, Jerry Brown, Global Warming Is Reducing Wildfires
5/21/2014 @ 9:45AM
California Gov. Jerry Brown blames global warming and Republicans for recent wildfires
in California,
but objective scientific data show a decline in wildfires as our planet
modestly warms.
2013 was one of the quietest
wildfire years in U.S.
history, according to objective data from the federal government’s National Interagency Fire Center. The
47,000 wildfires last year may seem like a very large number – and it certainly
gives global warming alarmists like
Brown plenty of fodder for misleading global warming claims – but the 47,000
wildfires was less than half the average number of wildfires that occurred each
year in the 1960s and 1970s. Importantly, the Earth was in a cooling phase
during the 1960s and 1970s when so many more wildfires occurred.
The unusually quiet 2013 fire
season continued a long-term trend in declining wildfires. From 1962 through
1982, for example, at least 100,000 wildfires occurred in the United States
every year. Since 1982, however, not a single year has registered 100,000
wildfires. During the past decade, an average of 73,000 wildfires occurred each
year. During the 1970s, by contrast, an average of 155,000 wildfires occurred
each year.
English: Photo of California Attorney General (and former
California Governor) Jerry Brown (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The 2014 wildfire season,
moreover, has
been relatively quiet so far. The total number of
wildfires is well below the 1962-2013 average, and is even below the average
for the past decade. Even so, the below-average 22,000 wildfires so far this
year give global warming alarmists plenty of opportunities to mislead the
public about the scientific facts.
The long-term decline in wildfires
reflects an ongoing improvement in global soil moisture and an ongoing decline
in global drought.
A scientific study in the
peer-reviewed Journal of Hydrology reports,
“Evidence indicates that summer soil moisture content has increased during the
last several decades at almost all sites having long-term records in the Global
Soil Moisture Data Bank.”
Similarly, a scientific study in
the peer-reviewed Geophysical Research Letters reports, “An increasing trend is apparent in both model soil moisture
and runoff over much of the U.S.
… This wetting trend is consistent with the general increase in precipitation
in the latter half of the 20th century. Droughts have, for the most part,
become shorter, less frequent, and cover a smaller portion of the country over
the last century.”
Droughts and wildfires have always
occurred and will always occur. While global warming is reducing the frequency
of droughts and wildfires, global warming will not completely eradicate
droughts and wildfires. They will continue from time to time despite their
long-term decline. This allows alarmists and political responsibility-shirkers
like Jerry Brown to blame global warming and his political opponents for the
relatively few droughts and wildfires that still do occur.
Jerry Brown can invent his own
political narrative but he cannot invent his own scientific facts.
Jerry Brown
Jerry
Brown is the California state government governor, and Kathleen Brown’s brother.
Note: Kathleen Brown is
Jerry Brown’s sister, a member of
the Commercial Club of Chicago, was the California state government treasurer, and an attorney
at O'Melveny & Myers LLP.
Ronald A. Klain
was a partner at O'Melveny & Myers
LLP, the chief of staff to the vice president for the Barack Obama administration, Albert
A. Gore Jr’s chief of staff, is married to Monica Medina, and a trustee at the Third Way.
Albert A.
Gore Jr.’s chief of staff was Ronald A. Klain, and the chairman for
the Climate Reality Project.
Foundation
to Promote Open Society was a funder for the Climate Reality Project,
the Sundance Institute, and the Brookings Institution (think tank).
George Soros
was the chairman for the Foundation to Promote Open Society.
Cindy
Harrell-Horn is a director at the Climate Reality Project, and a
trustee at the Sundance Institute.
Mellody
L. Hobson is a trustee at the Sundance Institute, and a member of
the Commercial Club of Chicago.
William M.
Daley is a member of the Commercial Club of Chicago, a trustee at
the Third Way,
was the chief of staff for the Barack Obama administration, and a
secretary at the U.S. Department of Commerce.
National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is a division of the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
Monica
Medina is the principal deputy under secretary for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and married to Ronald A. Klain.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
(PAST RESEARCH)
Tuesday, July 15,
2014
National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is a division of the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
Penny S.
Pritzker is the secretary at the U.S. Department of Commerce for the
Barack Obama administration, a member of the Commercial Club of
Chicago,was the national finance chair, fundraiser for the 2008
Barack Obama presidential campaign, a co-chair for the 2009 Barack Obama
inaugural committee, a fundraiser, national co-chair for the 2012 Barack
Obama presidential campaign, a contributor for the 2013 Barack Obama
inaugural committee, the host for the Barack Obama fund-raising dinner,
7/2/2008, and Craig M. Robinson’s basketball coach for the
children's team
Michelle
Obama is Craig M. Robinson’s sister, and was a lawyer at Sidley Austin LLP.
Barack Obama
was an intern at Sidley Austin LLP.
Newton N.
Minow is a senior counsel at Sidley Austin LLP, and a member of the Commercial
Club of Chicago.
R. Eden
Martin is counsel at Sidley Austin LLP, and the president of the Commercial
Club of Chicago.
Cyrus
F. Freidheim Jr. is a member of the Commercial Club of Chicago, and
an honorary trustee at the Brookings Institution (think tank).
Rebecca
M. Blank was a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution (think tank),
and is the deputy secretary at the U.S. Department of Commerce
for the Barack Obama administration.
National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is a division of the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
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